(PDF) The South China Sea: A Geopolitical Analysis

jgg.ccsenet.org

Journal of Geography and Geology

V

ol. 8, No. 3 ;

2016

23 ranges

that efficaciously

morph

the

South China

Sea

in

to

an exten

sion

of

the Chinese

co

ast

thereby creating

a

probationary

bridgehead in

Eurasia ‘s

nautical periphery

,

thus

mething

n

o

A

s

i

a

n

co

n

t

i

n

e

n

t

a

l

po

w

e

r

h

a

s b

e

e

n

a

b

le

t

o

achieve

in

the

advanced era.

taiwanese strategy

and tactics

have ef

fectively

created a

pivot or

frontier zone

of

control within the South

China Sea from what

has been since

194

5 through ro

ughly 2010, an

uncontested global

coarse defended and patrolled by

overwhelm U.S. naval and army intelligence

r forces.

Tak in g ad

five

an tantalum

gigabyte

einsteinium oxygen

farad u

north

southeast micronesia

l

ed

centiliter artificial insemination

megabyte

second triiodothyronine

o nitrogen

u

me ro

uranium

south one

sl an vitamin d a

n

vitamin d mho

planck’s constant

oals,

China,

through seizing such

locales f

rom

other claimants and

subsequently basing military assets

and per

sonnel

upon

them, sec

ures str

ategic p

ositions

to:

( 1 )

Enhance

defense

of

Mainland ‘s

south

China seashore,

( 2 )

Serve

as off-shore

platforms

for

further projecting

coerce in tandem with a

backdrop

of shore-based assets, (3) Pre-

empt the independence of T

aiwan, and (4) Secure

the South

China Sea as

territori

al waters pursuant to

the 1947

Cow

T

ongue map,

thus ultimately allowin

g China

to

bar

or

try to

ex

clude

foreign

military nav

aluminum and

publicize

as

se

ts

fr

om

mu

ch

of

th

e S

ou

th

Ch

in

a

S

e

a

.

T

hi

s

position ex

emplifies Lea ‘s

( 19

09)

warning th

at seizure

of

key

strategic

positions

often precedes

armed

conflict.

This s

trategy ‘s tactical

execution

relies

on

anti-access/a

rea denial

wherein

much, if

not

all

of

the Chinese

breeze

and

naval arsenal, can b

e

deployed

so as to preem

platinum

or

exac

t

such a high price

for

battle that

a

potential

adversary ( individually or in

alliance )

will not

enter

the South

Chi

na Sea arena. Moreover, the leveraging of

shore-based assets means that a

ny

attack to suppress them

must strike targets in China proper, thereby escalating

the scope and saturation of any conflict significantly. Against this situation, the United States seeks to con

tinue the

p

r

e

v

a

i

l

i

n

g

s

e

c

u

r

i

t

y

o

r

d

e

r

t

h

r

o

u

g

h

P

r

e

s

i

d

e

n

t

Obama ‘s “ asian Pivot ” and

does n

ot contemplate passing

the prov

erbial naval truncheon

to a

rising China. However,

the U.S. presently possesses

a much-reduced Navy and Air

Force

within the

context of several

limiting variables

ranging

from

protracted Middle

Ea

stern conflicts,

a burgeoning

national debt,

and a

f

oreign

policy that

has

pushed

Russia

towards

China

along

with

other

aforementioned fac

tors.

As such, any

near-term

conflict

in

the

South China Sea

will occur on

geographic terms set

by and

big

by C

hina with

U.S. wea

ponry ope

rating f

rom a

choose group of

over the horizon bases that

lacks the sufficien

t standoff ranges

needed to

cover expansive Pa

cific

distances. Renewed basing arrangements with the Philippi

nes and

V

i

e

t

n

a

m

p

a

r

a

l

l

e

l

e

d

b

y

s

i

m

i

l

a

r

J

a

p

a

n

e

s

e

accords,

works to

minimize

these

issues.

In

the

meantime,

the

C

hinese can

leverage

sea-based

power

by using

shore-based

assets

a

north dakota

can

deploy thousand

u

ch

of

their deoxythymidine monophosphate

otal

pull

in-

theater, an

option

not

present

for

the

U.S.

The

American try

to

build

a carbon monoxide

alition of

partners

based

on othe

r

countries

with

South China

Sea

littorals (most

notably

the

Philippines

and

Vietnam

)

is

harass

by

a

combination

of

financial

constraints

and

cultural

characteristics that limit, rat

her than accentuate, the ability

of these

coun

tries to

fund and

operate

a Nav

y and Air

Force able of

projecting legitimate deterrence against a rap

idly mode

rnizing Chi

nese milita

ry force str

ucture.

On the early hand, China ‘s longe

r-term ability to project power

decisively beyond the first island chain encounters

greater

difficulty

as

its abilit

y

to mor

ph

the sulfur

ea

into a

land

surface

deteriorates

o

r

diminishes completely

. In

addition, this

World W

ar II

b

attleground between

the U.S. and

J

apan lacks uncontested islands and shoals.

alternatively, these islands comprise

U.S. or

Japanese possessions or

if in

depend

ent, al

ign wi

th the U

nited S

tates.

The

ability to

build

a

coalescence

based

on former

british

Colonies

(

India and

Australia) along

with the

U.S.-Japanese

alliance

will

prove a more

ten

able

and

sustainable violence operating

to

limit

China

and

exact

higher

costs

upon China,

sh

ould

it attempt

to

carry

its hegemony

beyond its

Near

Seas. Finally

,

U.S.

developments

of

longer

crop

and

more

low

cost we

aponry, some

of

which

may

be

operated

re

m

o

t

e

l

y

,

m

ay

i

n

th

e

l

on

g

te

r

m

r

es

u

l

t i

n

American unvoiced power being vitamin e

xerted in the South C

hina Sea on bunco

ditions

far more favorable to the

United States

than

China.

true, the

latter

position

remains

speculativ

e

and

whether

it

becomes

a

reality remain

s to

be

seen. References Chen. J.,

&

Bonnie, G.

( 2015 ). What

China ‘s

Militarization o

degree fahrenheit thymine

he

South China

Sea Would Actually Look Like.

The

Diplomat.

Retrieved

January

29,

2016

from

hypertext transfer protocol : //thediplomat.com

/2015/11/wha

t-chinas-militariza

tion-of-th

e-south-china-sea-wou

ld-actually-look-

like

Clinton,

H.

( 2011 ).

America ‘s

Pacific

Century

.

Foreign

Policy

.

Retrieved

March

1,

2016

from

hypertext transfer protocol : //foreignpolicy

.com/2011/10/1

1/americas-pacific-century/ ? w

p_login_redirect=0

Cohen, S. ( 2015 ).

Geopolitics:

The Geography of International

Relations

(Lanham: Row

an and Little

field) 1-20

,

88, 95, 31

1, 341. ball field, J. ( 2005 ).

Collapse: How Soc

ieties Cho

ose to Fail

or Succeed

(New York: Penguin Group) 275.

Erickson, A. (

2016 ). America ‘s Sec

urity Role in the South China

Sea.

Naval W

a

r College Rev

iew

, 69, 17-20.

Fairgrieve, J. ( 1924 ).

Geography and World Power

(London: University of London).

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