Solving the Eastern Mediterranean crisis requires compromise

Solving the Eastern Mediterranean crisis requires compromise

As tensions escalate in the eastern Mediterranean, Turkey is wide viewed as the troublemaker, apparently grabbing anoint and accelerator in Greek and Cypriot waters in a “ neo-Ottoman ” quest for lost aura. Athens and Nicosia have described Ankara ’ sulfur actions as clear-cut violations of international law, which require turkey to be punished. France has quickly jumped in to support Greece and Cyprus, not only diplomatically but militarily excessively. The legal visualize, however, is more nuanced. Germany recognizes that the site merits mediation between Greece and Turkey. France, Greece, and the rest of the EU should embrace this access, and be will along with Turkey to make good concessions. One major sphere of compromise may need to be Cyprus. If the quarrel there remains unsolved, it will remain a regional flash point and threaten a comprehensive Greece-Turkey reconciliation .
During a September 10 peak of the EuroMed7 on Corsica, French President Emmanuel Macron and his colleague leaders of Greece, Cyprus, Malta, Italy, Spain, and Portugal noted in their close argument their “ entire corroborate and solidarity with Cyprus and Greece ” against Turkey ’ s “ confrontational actions, ” while urging Turkey to end “ unilateral and illegal activities ” in the easterly Mediterranean. Macron went even further on the evening of the summit, arguing, “ We Europeans need to be net and firm with the politics of President [ Recep Tayyip ] Erdoğan, which today is behaving in an unacceptable manner, ” and that Turkey was “ no longer a partner in the region, ” although he would like to “ restart a fruitful dialogue ” with Ankara .
Macron has repeatedly taken discourtesy in late months when Turkey has failed to toe France ’ mho policy channel in Syria and Libya. In Syria, Turkey ’ s military operation in the north set off dismay bells in Paris and Washington, but blocked the advance of russian and syrian forces in Idlib who had been targeting civilians randomly. In Libya, turkish military support forced russian mercenaries and insurgents led by the warlord Khalifa Haftar, whom France has supported, to retreat from the outskirts of Tripoli back to easterly Libya, protecting the UN-recognized Government of National Accord ( GNA ). While containing russian adventurism is a top NATO goal, Macron however lamented in late August that “ Turkey ’ randomness strategy in the past few years was not the strategy of a NATO ally. ”

When it comes to maritime boundary disputes in the eastern Mediterranean, the french president of the united states is taking a similar approach. But as Macron reflexively echoes greek and Cypriot disapprobation of Turkey and ratchets up tensions, he seems to be ignoring an significant international legal provision that calls for equitable resolutions of disputes over exclusive economic zones ( EEZs ) .
The 1982 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea ( UNCLOS ) defines an EEZ as a coastal state ’ mho self-declared area above its continental shelf in which it enjoys exclusive rights to develop marine resources, including on and under the ocean floor, up to a maximum of 200 miles from the coastal state ’ second shoreline, including islands. This is not to be confused with a territorial sea, which UNCLOS defines as a country ’ south sovereign territory on the ocean floor, sea airfoil, and the airspace above, which can extend to a maximum of twelve miles from shore .
Countries unilaterally declare their own EEZs and then register them with the United Nations. inevitably, disputes arise among neighboring states when their respective EEZ claims overlap. Article 59 of UNCLOS stipulates that such conflicts “ should be resolved on the basis of equity and in the light of all the relevant circumstances, taking into explanation the respective importance of the interests involved to the parties american samoa well as to the external community as a whole. ”
For the past few decades, Greece and Turkey have been trying to work through their at odds maritime claims in the Aegean Sea in avocation of an equitable solution, though not without bitterness. They have agreed that Aegean islands will have no EEZs, despite the 200 miles allowed under UNCLOS, so that greek islands lying just off Turkey ’ s coast will not deny Turkey any EEZ throughout much of the Aegean. At the same time, Athens has indicated that it might unilaterally extend its Aegean islands ’ territorial seas from the six miles allowed anterior to 1982 under international law to the twelve miles permitted under UNCLOS. Ankara, which has not signed onto UNCLOS, warns that any such move would constitute a induce for war .
Greece and Turkey have found even less coarse ground on their quarrel over Kastellorizo ( or Meis in Turkish ), a bantam greek island located far to the east of the Aegean that hugs Turkey ’ sulfur Anatolian seashore. Athens insists Kastellorizo enjoys a full EEZ of 200 miles, in accordance with UNCLOS. As the map below indicates, this approach results in a massive EEZ for Kastellorizo, leaving Turkey, the country with the longest coastline in the eastern Mediterranean, with one of the region ’ south smallest EEZs .

Original map here. Republished with permission from TRTWorld.

Rejecting this consequence as excessive and unfair, Turkey argues that entirely a state ’ mho mainland can generate an EEZ, while islands can not. Ankara therefore calls for bilateral negotiations with Athens to reach a “ reasonable ” solution. An official statement by the Turkish Foreign Ministry ’ s spokesman on July 22 summed up his government ’ s frustration : “ The argument that an island of ten square kilometers, located alone two kilometers away from Anatolia and 580 kilometers from the greek mainland should generate a continental ledge sphere of 40,000 square kilometers is neither rational nor in telephone line with external law. ” Athens, however, has by and large rejected such talks .
While President Macron staunchly supports the positions of Greece and Cyprus, German Chancellor Angela Merkel stepped into the diplomatic breach in July, convincing President Erdoğan to suspend exploration for oil and gasoline just south of Kastellorizo by Turkey ’ s national petroleum company, TPAO, in central for Athens ’ s agreement to negotiate with Ankara over conflicting EEZ claims there. Germany then facilitated respective meetings among senior Turkish and Greek officials, who agreed to reinvigorate their dialogue .
On August 6, however, hours before free of a articulation statement about this newly round of talks, Greece announced that it had signed a maritime-boundary agreement with Egypt that conflicts with Turkey ’ randomness claims. This agreement, in turn, was in answer to a November 2019 maritime-boundary boundary line accord between Turkey and Libya according to which Turkey expanded its EEZ claim significantly at Greece ’ south expense by denying an EEZ for Crete ( angstrom well as Rhodes ). crete carries particular emotional system of weights in Greece, being the area ’ mho largest island, the fabulous birthplace of Zeus, and the center of Europe ’ s first civilization, the Minoans­­­­­­ .
Turkey responded to the Greece-Egypt agreement by restarting TPAO ’ s exploration activities near Kastellorizo, under see by turkish Navy warships. greek warships regularly shadow them, while french and greek warplanes conduct joint military exercises in the area. In mid-august, a greek warship collided with a turkish Navy vessel escorting TPAO ’ s seismic-survey ship, Oruc Reis. meanwhile, President Erdoğan warned on September 5 that Greece ( and Cyprus ) “ will understand that Turkey has the political, economic, and military military capability to tear up immoral maps and documents….They will either understand the linguistic process of politics and diplomacy, or on the field through biting experiences. ” Erdoğan added ominously, “ We are ready for every possibility and every consequence. ”
Stemming this dangerous action-reaction bicycle requires pressing international mediation. The European Union is reportedly preparing such an effort, which will include both incontrovertible incentives and baffling newly sanctions on Turkey should talks fail. NATO has besides started talks between Turkey and Greece on military deconfliction in the eastern Mediterranean.

An initial de-escalatory finish of EU-led talks could be for Turkey to extend indefinitely TPAO ’ s September 12 suspension of Oruc Reis ’ s exploration near Kastellorizo and possibly recognize the particular case of an EEZ for Crete in exchange for Athens accepting no EEZ for Kastellorizo .
exist Ankara to agree to some sort of special economic rights for Crete, it would mark a major concession, breaking with Turkey ’ s longstanding position that islands are not entitled to EEZs. Eliciting such a concession will require Greece to agree to Turkey ’ s imperativeness on discussing the “ full crop of issues ” dividing them in the easterly Mediterranean. Chief among these is Cyprus, where Turkey has not legally recognized the Government of the Republic of Cyprus since 1974. UN-led mediation between the Government of the Republic of Cyprus ( supported by Greece and a extremity of the EU ) and the turkish Cypriot community ( supported by Turkey ) has so far been unsuccessful in reuniting the island .
This political division of Cyprus results in competing EEZ claims as depicted in the map below .

Original map here. Republished with permission from TRTWorld.

The greek Cypriot authorities in Nicosia, who are the internationally acknowledge government of an EU member state, title an EEZ that surrounds the entire island, and which is defined by boundary line agreements with Egypt in 2003, Lebanon in 2007, and Israel in 2010. Nicosia subsequently licensed respective hydrocarbon-exploration blocks to international petroleum companies in waters south of the island. These companies began seismic surveys and drilling in 2011. In reaction, Turkey and the turkish Cypriot leaders signed a maritime-boundary boundary line agreement in 2011, resulting in their own EEZ claims and licensing hydrocarbon-exploration blocks in waters besides claimed by Nicosia .
The turkish government maintains that it showed restraint by refraining from any challenges at ocean to the above actions by Nicosia from 2003 to 2011. furthermore, TPAO waited an extra seven years to begin drilling, helping provide distance for the latest round of UN-brokered talks aimed at reunifying Cyprus in a bi-zonal, bi-communal federation. Those talks collapsed, however, in the summer of 2017­­ and TPAO started drilling a year late .
The political, economic, and legal disputes dividing Cyprus long predate stream tensions between Turkey and Greece over Kastellorizo and Crete, and will require an intensifier and confirm diplomatic effort by the EU and possibly the United States to prevent crises from recurring in the easterly Mediterranean .
France, Greece, and the entire EU should embrace this de-escalatory approach, recognizing that the entire transatlantic community will be strategically better off with a impregnable Greece-Turkey relationship that ensures a fair system for sharing Eastern Mediterranean energy resources .
Matthew Bryza is a senior fellow with the Atlantic Council ’ mho Global Energy Center. He served as a US diplomat for over two decades, including as US ambassador to Azerbaijan and deputy assistant secretary of state for european and eurasian affairs. He is besides the chief executive officer of Lamor Turkey, a Finnish-Turkish articulation speculation providing environmental solutions, and a board extremity of Turcas Petrol, a publicly-traded Turkish energy company invested in gasoline stations ( with Shell ), electricity generation ( with RWE ), and geothermal ability .
The views expressed in TURKEYSource are entirely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Atlantic Council, its staff, or its supporters.

Further reading:

image : Greece ‘s Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis, Italy ‘s Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte, Cyprus ‘ President Nikos Anastasiadis, France ‘s President Emmanuel Macron, Portugal ‘s Prime Minister Antonio Costa, Spain ‘s Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, and Malta ‘s Prime Minister Robert Abela airs after the close of the one-seventh MED7 Mediterranean countries summit in Porticcio, on the Mediterranean Island of Corsica, France September 10, 2020. Ludovic Marin/Pool via REUTERS

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